NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies (October 23, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) face the Golden State Warriors (0-1) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Grizzlies are at +130. The total points line is set at 235.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-116 Golden State.

• The Warriors (-110) have a 36-49-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies (-110) hold a record of 38-44-1 across the same span.
• The Warriors have a 48-36-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total points line, 36 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Grizzlies have a 42-40-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors have scored 114.5 points per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies have averaged 114.8 over the same span (21st).
• Defensively, the Warriors have allowed 115.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (T13th in the league), while the Grizzlies have given up an average of 120.5 points over that span (26th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

• The Warriors rank 19th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 99.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 7th on that scale with 101.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 49.5% of the Warriors' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (1st in the league), leaving 50.5% from two. Notably, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 42.4% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 57.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Memphis has taken 43.5% of shots from three (8th), leaving 56.5% from two, while Golden State's opponents have attempted 40.6% from three (9th) and 59.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors have shot 35.4% from deep since the beginning of last season (19th in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.3% of their attempts (22nd).
• On the opposite end, Golden State has held opponents to 36.1% of their three-point attempts (19th), while Memphis' opponents have hit 36.4% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.7 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 28th in the league. The Grizzlies may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they've forced 15.5 turnovers per contest (8th) across the same period.
• Flipping that script, Golden State has forced 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Memphis has committed 15.1 (20th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 42.3 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (T22nd in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 46.7 rebounds (27th), 12.6 of which have come on the offensive end (T28th).
• Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have averaged 42.3 rebounds (21st) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.2 and 11.5, ranking 18th and 18th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	36-45-4	17-22-2	19-23-2	22-24-4	14-21-0
Memphis	29-50-4	15-26-1	14-24-3	10-9-2	19-41-2

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	41-44-0	21-20-0	20-24-0	29-21-0	12-23-0
Memphis	31-48-4	16-23-3	15-25-1	13-8-0	18-40-4

HT/FT

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 34.1% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 18.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Warriors have played in five games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 45 of Golden State's 85 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 46 of Memphis' 83 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 133-112 blowout victory against Memphis at FedExForum when these teams last met on February 25, 2026. Will Richard was prominent on that day, recording 21 points, five rebounds, six assists and three steals. The Warriors have now won six straight against the Grizzlies.