NBA Prop Bets: Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat (October 24, 2026)

The Miami Heat (0-2) face the Charlotte Hornets (1-1) at Spectrum Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Heat are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Hornets are at +130. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-114 Miami.

The Hornets (-110) have a 51-35-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Heat (-110) hold a record of 46-38-1 across the same span.
The Hornets have a 32-54-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 54 have gone under). The Heat have a 48-35-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Hornets have scored 115.5 points per game since the beginning of last season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Heat have averaged +5.0 more at 120.6 points over the same span (2nd).
Defensively, the Hornets have allowed 111.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league), while the Heat have given up an average of 118.8 points over that span (22nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

The Hornets rank 26th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 96.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Heat sit 1st on that scale with 103.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 48.8% of the Hornets' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (2nd in the league), leaving 51.2% from two. Notably, the Heat's opponents are taking 42.0% of their attempts from three (25th) and 58.0% from two.
Comparatively, Miami has taken 40.7% of shots from three (13th), leaving 59.3% from two, while Charlotte's opponents have attempted 40.6% from three (8th) and 59.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Hornets have shot 37.5% from deep since the beginning of last season (3rd in the NBA), compared to the Heat who are making 35.9% of their attempts (13th).
On the opposite end, Charlotte has held opponents to 36.0% of their three-point attempts (17th), while Miami's opponents have hit 36.1% of their shots (18th).

Ball Protection

The Hornets are committing 15.6 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 26th in the league. The Heat may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they've forced 15.1 turnovers per contest (10th) across the same period.
Flipping that script, Charlotte has forced only 12.8 turnovers (28th), while Miami has committed just 13.7 (T7th).

Crashing the Boards

Charlotte is pulling down 46.1 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league), including 12.9 offensive boards (5th). Conversely, Miami's opponents are averaging a whopping 46.5 rebounds (26th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
Meanwhile, the Heat have averaged 46.2 rebounds (T3rd) and 11.8 offensive rebounds (10th), while the Hornets are allowing 39.4 and 10.2, ranking 1st and 2nd.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Hornets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.
Charlotte held an 11-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back last season, as well as a 12-4-0 ATS record and 5-11-0 O/U record.
Additionally, Miami had a 10-3 W-L record, 11-2-0 ATS record and 6-6-1 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.
Notably, the Heat are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.
Notably, the Hornets and Heat are each playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Charlotte	44-37-5	23-17-3	21-20-2	25-13-1	19-24-4
Miami	51-33-1	26-17-0	25-16-1	31-11-0	20-22-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Charlotte	47-37-2	25-18-0	22-19-2	25-12-2	22-25-0
Miami	47-36-2	27-15-1	20-21-1	30-12-0	17-24-2

HT/FT

The Hornets have completed the HT/FT double in 41.9% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Heat have completed the HT/FT double in 42.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Hornets have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Heat have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of Charlotte's 86 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 56 of Miami's 85 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Charlotte recorded a 127-126 overtime victory over Miami at Spectrum Center when these teams last met on April 14, 2026. Charlotte recorded a 127-126 overtime victory over Miami at Spectrum Center when these teams last met in the 2025/26 play-in series. LaMelo Ball facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 30 points and 10 assists.