NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors (October 24, 2026)

The Golden State Warriors (0-2) face the Phoenix Suns (0-1) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Suns opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 9.5, leaving the Suns at -380 and Warriors at +300. The total points line is set at 219.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-105 Phoenix.

• The Suns (-110) have a 49-37-3 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Warriors (-110) hold a record of 36-50-0 across the same span.
• The Suns have a 40-47-2 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total points line, 47 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Warriors have a 48-37-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns have scored 112.2 points per game since the beginning of last season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Warriors have averaged 114.4 over the same span (22nd).
• Defensively, the Suns have allowed just 111.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league), while the Warriors have given up an average of 115.3 points over that span (13th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

• The Suns rank 24th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 97.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Warriors sit 19th on that scale with 99.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 45.2% of the Suns' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (5th in the league), leaving 54.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Warriors' opponents are taking 40.6% of their attempts from three (9th) and 59.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Golden State has taken 49.5% of shots from three (1st), leaving 50.5% from two, while Phoenix's opponents have attempted 41.1% from three (6th) and 58.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns have shot 36.0% from deep since the beginning of last season (12th in the NBA), compared to the Warriors who are making 35.4% of their attempts (18th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix has held opponents to 34.8% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Golden State's opponents have hit 36.1% of their shots (19th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 14.5 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Warriors have forced 16.1 turnovers (6th) across the same period.
• Flipping that script, Phoenix has forced 16.3 turnovers (4th), while Golden State has committed a potentially problematic 15.7 per contest (27th).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.1 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (20th in the league), including 13.0 offensive boards (4th). Conversely, Golden State's opponents are averaging 44.3 rebounds (18th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (19th).
• Meanwhile, the Warriors have averaged 42.3 rebounds (24th) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (13th), while the Suns are allowing 43.8 and 11.8, ranking 16th and 22nd.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Suns are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.
• Phoenix held a 7-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back last season, as well as a 6-10-0 ATS record and 8-8-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Golden State had a 5-8 W-L record, 5-8-0 ATS record and 6-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Phoenix	44-40-5	24-20-1	20-20-4	23-16-2	21-24-3
Golden State	37-45-4	18-22-2	19-23-2	23-24-4	14-21-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	44-43-2	22-21-2	22-22-0	25-15-1	19-28-1
Golden State	41-45-0	21-21-0	20-24-0	29-22-0	12-23-0

HT/FT

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 40.4% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 33.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Suns have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Warriors have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Phoenix's 89 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 45 of Golden State's 86 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded a 111-96 victory over Golden State at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met on April 17, 2026. Phoenix recorded a 111-96 victory over Golden State at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met in the 2025/26 play-in series. Jalen Green dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 36 points and three blocks.