NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors (October 25, 2026)

The Toronto Raptors (2-0) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 1.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -115 and Raptors at -105. The total points line is set at 231.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-115 Minnesota.

The Timberwolves (-105) have a 45-51-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Raptors (-115) hold a record of 49-42-0 across the same span.
The Timberwolves have a 44-52-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total points line and 52 have gone under). The Raptors have a 37-53-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Timberwolves have scored 118.1 points per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Raptors have averaged only 114.8 over the same span (19th).
Defensively, the Timberwolves have allowed 114.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league), while the Raptors have given up an average of 111.5 points over that span (8th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

The Timberwolves rank 9th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 100.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Raptors sit 20th on that scale with 98.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 42.1% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (17th in the league), leaving 57.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Raptors' opponents are taking 41.9% of their attempts from three (10th) and 58.1% from two.
Comparatively, Toronto has taken only 36.2% of shots from three (25th), leaving 63.8% from two, while Minnesota's opponents have attempted a similarly low 38.0% from three (T2nd) and 62.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves have shot 37.1% from deep since the beginning of last season (5th in the NBA), compared to the Raptors who are making 35.2% of their attempts (21st).
On the opposite end, Minnesota has held opponents to 35.2% of their three-point attempts (10th), while Toronto's opponents have hit 34.6% of their shots (2nd).

Ball Protection

The Timberwolves are committing 14.8 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 19th in the league, while the Raptors have forced 16.3 turnovers (3rd) across the same period.
Flipping that script, Minnesota has forced 15.1 turnovers (12th), while Toronto has committed 13.7 (6th).

Crashing the Boards

Minnesota is pulling down 44.4 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (12th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (17th). Conversely, Toronto's opponents are averaging 43.0 rebounds (11th), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
Meanwhile, the Raptors have averaged 42.3 rebounds (T21st) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (18th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.6 and 11.6, ranking 15th and 20th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	48-46-2	21-25-1	27-21-1	33-24-2	15-22-0
Toronto	49-37-5	27-17-1	22-20-4	34-16-1	15-21-4

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	48-40-8	25-20-2	23-20-6	31-25-3	17-15-5
Toronto	49-40-2	28-16-1	21-24-1	34-17-0	15-23-2

HT/FT

The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 36.5% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Timberwolves have played in four games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Raptors have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 43 of Minnesota's 96 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 33 of Toronto's 91 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 115-107 victory over Toronto at Target Center when these teams last met on March 5, 2026. Rudy Gobert was prominent on that day, recording 18 points, 12 rebounds, five assists and three blocks. The Timberwolves have now won four straight at Target Center against the Raptors.