NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies (October 25, 2026)

The Memphis Grizzlies (2-0) face the Sacramento Kings (0-2) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Grizzlies opened as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Grizzlies at -175 and Kings at +145. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-116 Memphis.

• The Kings (-115) have a 37-46-1 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies (-105) hold a record of 39-44-1 across the same span.
• The Kings have a 43-41-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 43 games have gone over the total points line and 41 have gone under). The Grizzlies have a 42-41-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Kings have scored 110.9 points per game since the beginning of last season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Grizzlies have averaged 114.7 over the same span (21st).
• Defensively, the Kings have allowed a whopping 121.1 points per game since the beginning of last season (27th in the league), while the Grizzlies have given up an average of 120.3 points over that span (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

• The Kings rank 16th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 99.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Grizzlies sit 7th on that scale with 101.3 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 33.9% of the Kings' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (30th in the league), leaving 66.1% from two. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies' opponents are taking 42.5% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 57.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Memphis has taken 43.5% of shots from three (9th), leaving 56.5% from two, while Sacramento's opponents have attempted 41.1% from three (15th) and 58.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Kings have shot 33.9% from deep since the beginning of last season (30th in the NBA), compared to the Grizzlies who are making 35.3% of their attempts (20th).
• On the opposite end, Sacramento has held opponents to 37.8% of their three-point attempts (29th), while Memphis' opponents have hit 36.4% of their shots (21st).

Ball Protection

• The Kings are committing 14.4 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 13th in the league, while the Grizzlies have forced 15.6 turnovers (8th) across the same period.
• Flipping that script, Sacramento has forced 14.0 turnovers (20th), while Memphis has committed 15.2 (T20th).

Crashing the Boards

• Sacramento is pulling down 42.3 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (24th in the league), including 11.5 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Memphis' opponents are averaging 46.6 rebounds (28th), 12.7 of which have come on the offensive end (29th).
• Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have averaged 42.3 rebounds (T21st) and 11.3 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Kings are allowing 44.0 and 11.1, ranking 17th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	32-48-4	21-20-1	11-28-3	3-6-0	29-42-4
Memphis	29-51-4	15-26-1	14-25-3	10-9-2	19-42-2

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	25-57-2	14-27-1	11-30-1	3-5-1	22-52-1
Memphis	32-48-4	16-23-3	16-25-1	13-8-0	19-40-4

HT/FT

• The Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 16.7% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies have completed the HT/FT double in 19.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Kings have played in three games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Grizzlies have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 42 of Sacramento's 84 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 46 of Memphis' 84 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Sacramento recorded a 123-114 victory over Memphis at FedExForum when these teams last met on February 23, 2026. Despite being on the losing side, Javon Small was influential on that day, recording 21 points, six rebounds and nine assists. That result snapped the Grizzlies' three-game winning streak against the Kings.