NBA Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings (November 2, 2026)
The Sacramento Kings (0-6) face the Dallas Mavericks (4-2) at American Airlines Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Mavericks opened as 9.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Mavericks at -395 and Kings at +310. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-112 Dallas.
- The Mavericks (-105) have a 4-2-0 ATS record this season, while the Kings (-115) hold a record of 1-5-0.
- The Mavericks have a 2-4-0 O/U record this season (meaning two games have gone over the total points line and four have gone under). The Kings have a 4-2-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Kings are averaging 109.3 (22nd).
- Defensively, the Mavericks are giving up 111.8 points per game this season (14th in the league), while the Kings are giving up an average of 128.3 points (29th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Mavericks currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 99.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Kings sit 4th on that scale with 103.5 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.3% of the Mavericks' field goal attempts come from three point range (T17th in the league), leaving 57.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Kings' opponents are taking 42.8% of their attempts from three (T16th) and 57.2% from two.
- Comparatively, Sacramento takes only 38.1% of shots from three (26th), leaving 61.9% from two, while Dallas' opponents are attempting a similarly low 38.4% from three (8th) and 61.6% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Mavericks are shooting 35.0% from deep in 2026/27 (15th in the NBA), compared to the Kings who are making 30.2% of their attempts (27th).
- On the opposite end, Dallas is holding opponents to 29.7% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Sacramento's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 39.0% of their shots (27th).
Ball Protection
- The Mavericks are committing 17.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking T22nd in the league, while the Kings are forcing 15.5 turnovers (20th).
- Flipping that script, Dallas is forcing 15.0 turnovers (23rd), while Sacramento is committing 16.7 (T19th).
Crashing the Boards
- Dallas is pulling down 43.7 rebounds per game this season (T18th in the league), including 11.2 offensive boards (T20th). Conversely, Sacramento's opponents are averaging 46.5 rebounds (T23rd), 10.5 of which have come on the offensive end (T6th).
- Meanwhile, the Kings are averaging 39.7 rebounds (30th) and 10.7 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Mavericks are allowing 43.3 and 14.5, ranking T11th and 27th.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 3-3-0 | 2-1-0 | 1-2-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Sacramento | 3-3-0 | 2-0-0 | 1-3-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-0 | 5-4-1 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records in 2026/27.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas | 3-3-0 | 1-2-0 | 2-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Sacramento | 1-5-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-4-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-5-0 | 2-8-0 |
HT/FT
Dallas is -240 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Sacramento is +400.
- The Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 50.0% of games this season, while the Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 0.0% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Monday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.
- The Mavericks have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Kings have appeared in three.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in two of Dallas' six games this season. Meanwhile, three of Sacramento's six games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Sacramento recorded an upset 130-121 victory over Dallas at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on February 26, 2026. Precious Achiuwa came up big on that day, scoring 29 points and adding 12 rebounds. The Kings have now won five straight at American Airlines Center against the Mavericks.
NBA Injury News – Sacramento Kings @ Dallas Mavericks (November 2, 2026)
Raynaud is progressing in his rehabilitation and will be re-evaluated in approximately two weeks, per Brenden Nunes of KHTK Sactown Sports 1140.
LaVine is Questionable for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Dallas.
Murray will be re-evaluated in 10-to-14 days, as per NBA reporter Marc Stein.
Cardwell is Questionable for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Dallas.
The Kings reported Simmons is OUT for the 2026 - 2027 season due to an achilles iinjury.
Irving is Questionable for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Sacramento.
Aldama is Doubtful for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Sacramento.
Lively II is OUT for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Sacramento.
Head coach Dusty May said Friday that de Larrea will be re-evaluated next week, Noah Weber of TheSmokingCuban.com.
Biberovic is OUT for Monday's (Nov. 2) game against Sacramento.
