NBA Prop Bets: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks (November 2, 2026)

The Milwaukee Bucks (1-5) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) at Target Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -455 and Bucks at +350. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-112 Minnesota.

The Timberwolves (-112) have a 6-1-0 ATS record this season, while the Bucks (-108) hold a record of 2-4-0.
The Timberwolves have a 4-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning four games have gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Bucks have a 5-1-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Timberwolves are averaging 120.0 points per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Bucks are averaging only 113.0 (17th).
Defensively, the Timberwolves are giving up 108.7 points per game this season (8th in the league), while the Bucks are giving up an average of 126.2 points (28th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Timberwolves currently rank 9th for pace this season, recording 101.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bucks sit 5th on that scale with 103.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Timberwolves' field goal attempts come from three point range (10th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Bucks' opponents are taking 44.3% of their attempts from three (27th) and 55.7% from two.
Comparatively, Milwaukee takes 45.9% of shots from three (4th), leaving 54.1% from two, while Minnesota's opponents are attempting 39.9% from three (7th) and 60.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Timberwolves are shooting 37.6% from deep in 2026/27 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Bucks who are making 33.9% of their attempts (21st).
On the opposite end, Minnesota is holding opponents to 31.2% of their three-point attempts (6th), while Milwaukee's opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (14th).

Ball Protection

The Timberwolves are committing 15.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 16th in the league, while the Bucks are forcing 13.0 turnovers (30th).
Flipping that script, Minnesota is forcing 16.4 turnovers (13th), while Milwaukee is committing 16.7 (T19th).

Crashing the Boards

Minnesota is pulling down 48.4 rebounds per game this season (3rd in the league), including 13.9 offensive boards (7th). Conversely, Milwaukee's opponents are averaging 46.0 rebounds (22nd), 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end (T13th).
Meanwhile, the Bucks are averaging 48.8 rebounds (2nd) and 14.3 offensive rebounds (4th), while the Timberwolves are allowing 43.6 and 11.3, ranking 13th and 10th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	5-2-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	6-4-0
Milwaukee	3-3-0	3-1-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	2-3-0	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Minnesota	6-1-0	2-1-0	4-0-0	2-1-0	4-0-0	7-3-0
Milwaukee	2-4-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	1-4-0	4-6-0

HT/FT

Minnesota is -260 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Milwaukee is +425.

The Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 57.1% of games this season, while the Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 0.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

The Timberwolves have played in five games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Bucks have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in three of Minnesota's seven games this season. Meanwhile, four of Milwaukee's six games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 139-106 blowout victory against Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on January 13, 2026. Julius Randle was influential on that day, recording 29 points, eight rebounds and six assists.