NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans (November 9, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (4-6) face the Golden State Warriors (7-3) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Warriors are favored to win at -395, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Pelicans are at +312. The total points line is set at 232.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 121-112 Golden State.

• The Warriors (-106) have a 7-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-115) hold a record of 5-3-2.
• The Warriors have a 6-4-0 O/U record this season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line and four have gone under). The Pelicans also have a 6-4-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 118.6 points per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging 120.5 (2nd).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 113.6 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 120.8 points (26th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 19th for pace this season, recording 99.0 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 4th on that scale with 101.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 47.1% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 52.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 43.9% of their attempts from three (19th) and 56.1% from two.
• Comparatively, New Orleans takes 32.0% of shots from three (30th), leaving 68.0% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 43.4% from three (17th) and 56.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 39.5% from deep in 2026/27 (1st in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making an underwhelming 32.9% of their attempts (24th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 34.4% of their three-point attempts (15th), while New Orleans' opponents are hitting 32.3% of their shots (7th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 17.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 24th in the league. The Pelicans may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 16.8 turnovers per contest (9th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 17.6 turnovers (5th), while New Orleans is committing 16.9 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 43.7 rebounds per game this season (16th in the league), including 12.6 offensive boards (13th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 43.7 rebounds (16th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (13th).
• Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.5 rebounds (18th) and 10.9 offensive rebounds (T22nd), while the Warriors are allowing 42.6 and 12.6, ranking 9th and 19th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Warriors are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Golden State holds an 8-1 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 9-9-0 ATS record and 11-6-1 O/U record.
• Additionally, New Orleans had a 3-9 W-L record, 5-7-0 ATS record and 6-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.

First Quarter Winner

Golden State is -198 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is +164. Here are their first quarter records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	4-6-0	2-4-0	2-2-0	2-3-0	2-3-0	4-6-0
New Orleans	4-4-2	2-3-1	2-1-1	0-1-2	4-3-0	4-4-2

First Half Winner

Golden State is -250 to win the first half and New Orleans is +205. Here are their first half records in 2026/27.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	4-4-2	2-2-2	2-2-0	2-2-1	2-2-1	4-4-2
New Orleans	5-5-0	4-2-0	1-3-0	2-1-0	3-4-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

Golden State is -210 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is +400.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 30.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Monday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Pelicans have appeared in eight.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in six of Golden State's 10 games this season. Meanwhile, seven of New Orleans' 10 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New Orleans recorded a 113-109 victory over Golden State at Smoothie King Center when these teams last met on February 24, 2026. Despite being on the losing side, Gui Santos was prominent on that day, recording 15 points, 12 rebounds, four assists and two steals. That result snapped the Warriors' six-game winning streak against the Pelicans.