NFL Prop Bets: New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons - Week 9

The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) face the New England Patriots (6-2) at Gillette Stadium for Week 9. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Patriots are favored to win at -250, currently marked as 5.5-point favorites, while the Falcons are at +200.

The total points line is set at 45.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 25-20 New England.

  • The Falcons (-110) have a 3-4-0 ATS record this season, while the Patriots (-110) hold a record of 6-2-0.

Points on the board

  • The Falcons are averaging 17.1 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots are performing better, averaging 26.6 (8th).
  • Defensively, the Falcons are giving up 22.0 points per game this season (T13th in the league), while the Patriots are giving up an average of 18.3 points (4th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 342.7, the Falcons rank 14th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Patriots rank 10th with 353.1 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Falcons are giving up 275.6 per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Patriots are giving up an average of 300.4 (9th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Falcons have recorded 219.4 passing yards per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots' defense has given up 224.4 passing yards per game (19th).
  • Meanwhile, the Patriots have recorded 240.5 passing yards per game this season (9th in the league), while the Falcons' defense has given up 149.1 passing yards per game (1st).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Falcons have recorded 123.3 rushing yards per game this season (11th in the league). Conversely, the Patriots are giving up 76.0 rushing yards per game (2nd).
  • On the other hand, the Patriots have recorded 112.6 rushing yards per game this season (18th in the league), while the Falcons are giving up 126.4 rushing yards per game (21st).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Falcons have recorded 9 total takeaways this season (T12th in the league), while the Patriots have recorded 11 (T5th).
  • On offense, the Falcons have recorded 7 total giveaways this season (T11th in the league), while the Patriots have recorded 9 (T17th).

First to Score

  • The Falcons have scored first in five of their seven games this season.
  • The Patriots have scored first in three of their eight games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Falcons have recorded the first touchdown in four of their seven games this season.
  • The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in two of their eight games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Atlanta Touchdown2 / 7
    Atlanta Field Goal3 / 7
    Atlanta Safety0 / 7
    New England Touchdown1 / 8
    New England Field Goal2 / 8
    New England Safety0 / 8

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Falcons have been the first to score 10 points in three of their seven games this season.
  • The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in five of their eight games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Falcons have a 4-2-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Patriots hold a record of 4-3-1.

Last Time They Met

The Patriots recorded a 25-0 beatdown over the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when these teams last met in Week 11, 2021. The Patriots have now won seven straight against the Falcons.