NFL Prop Bets: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs - Week 9

The Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) face the Buffalo Bills (5-2) at Highmark Stadium for Week 9. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Chiefs started the week as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.0, leaving the Chiefs at -135 and Bills at +115.

The total points line is set at 52.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 27-25 Kansas City.

  • The Chiefs (-115) have a 5-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Bills (-106) hold a record of 3-4-0.

Points on the board

  • The Chiefs are averaging 26.8 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Bills are averaging 29.6 (4th).
  • Defensively, the Chiefs are giving up 16.4 points per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Bills are giving up an average of 20.9 points (9th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 378.3, the Chiefs rank 5th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Bills rank 3rd with 382.9 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Chiefs are giving up 277.8 per game this season (4th in the league), while the Bills are giving up an average of 312.1 (12th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Chiefs have recorded 251.8 passing yards per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Bills' defense has given up 161.9 passing yards per game (2nd).
  • Meanwhile, the Bills have recorded 218.4 passing yards per game this season (15th in the league), while the Chiefs' defense has given up 177.8 passing yards per game (3rd).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Chiefs have recorded 126.5 rushing yards per game this season (9th in the league). This could be an area they look to exploit against the Bills, who rank 31st for opponent rushing yards, conceding 150.3 per game.
  • On the other hand, the Bills have recorded 164.4 rushing yards per game this season (1st in the league), while the Chiefs are giving up 100.0 rushing yards per game (11th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Chiefs have recorded 9 total takeaways this season (T12th in the league), while the Bills have recorded 8 (T16th).
  • On offense, the Chiefs have recorded 4 total giveaways this season (T3rd in the league), while the Bills have recorded 6 (T7th).

First to Score

  • The Chiefs have scored first in four of their eight games this season.
  • The Bills have also scored first in four of their seven games.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Chiefs have recorded the first touchdown in four of their eight games this season.
  • The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in five of their seven games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Kansas City Touchdown3 / 8
    Kansas City Field Goal1 / 8
    Kansas City Safety0 / 8
    Buffalo Touchdown3 / 7
    Buffalo Field Goal1 / 7
    Buffalo Safety0 / 7

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Chiefs have been the first to score 10 points in six of their eight games this season.
  • The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in five of their seven games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Chiefs have a 4-3-1 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Bills hold a record of 4-2-1.

Last Time They Met

The Chiefs recorded a 32-29 victory over the Bills at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium when these teams last met in the Conference Championships of the 2024 season.