NFL Prop Bets: Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills - Divisional Round

The Buffalo Bills (12-5) face the Denver Broncos (14-3) at Empower Field at Mile High for the Divisional Round. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Bills started the week as 1.5-point favorites, but the Broncos have moved into favoritism at -115, with the spread currently set at 1.5. The Bills are -106.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -113 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-22 Denver.

The Bills (-118) have a 9-9-0 ATS record this season, while the Broncos (-103) hold a record of 7-10-0.
The Bills have a 9-8-1 O/U record this season (meaning nine games have gone over the total points line, eight have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Broncos have a 7-10-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

The Bills averaged 28.3 points per game during the regular season (T4th in the league). Comparatively, the Broncos averaged only 23.6 (14th).
Defensively, the Bills gave up 21.5 points per game during the regular season (12th in the league), while the Broncos gave up an average of 18.3 points (3rd).

Moving the chains

With an average of 376.3, the Bills ranked 4th in the league for total yards per game during the regular season. Comparatively, the Broncos ranked 10th with 342.6 yards per game.
In terms of yards allowed, the Bills gave up 293.1 per game during the regular season (7th in the league), while the Broncos gave up an average of 278.2 (2nd).

Ascendency in the air

The Bills recorded 216.6 passing yards per game during the regular season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Broncos' defense gave up 187.2 passing yards per game (7th).
Meanwhile, the Broncos recorded 223.9 passing yards per game during the regular season (11th in the league), while the Bills' defense gave up 156.9 passing yards per game (1st).

Advantage on the ground

Looking at the ground game, the Bills recorded an impressive 159.6 rushing yards per game during the regular season (1st in the league). However, the Broncos were equally strong at stuffing the run, allowing just 91.1 yards per game (2nd).
On the other hand, the Broncos recorded 118.7 rushing yards per game during the regular season (16th in the league) and although not a massively impressive number, they'll still try to take advantage in this area given the Bills allowed 136.2 rushing yards per game (28th).

Protecting the ball

Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Bills recorded 20 total takeaways during the regular season (T15th in the league), while the Broncos failed to perform at the same level, recording 14 (T26th).
On offense, the Bills recorded 19 total giveaways during the regular season (T15th in the league), while the Broncos recorded 17 (T11th).

First to Score

The Bills are -110 to score first, while the Broncos are -121.

The Bills have scored first in eight of their 18 games this season (including playoffs).
The Broncos have scored first in six of their 17 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Bills are -110 to record the first touchdown, while the Broncos are -115.

The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 18 games this season (including playoffs).
The Broncos have recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 17 games this season.

First Scoring Play

Play	Frequency	Odds
Buffalo Touchdown	6 / 18	+211
Buffalo Field Goal	2 / 18	+383
Buffalo Safety	0 / 18	+7700
Denver Touchdown	1 / 17	+210
Denver Field Goal	5 / 17	+325
Denver Safety	0 / 17	+7000

Which team will get a quick start?

The Bills are -105 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Broncos are -118.

The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in nine of their 18 games this season (including playoffs).
The Broncos have been the first to score 10 points in 10 of their 17 games this season.