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NFL Prop Bets: Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions - Week 2

The Detroit Lions (1-0) face the Buffalo Bills (1-0) at Highmark Stadium for Week 2. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Bills started the week as 3.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Bills at -205 and Lions at +170.

The total points line is set at 53.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 29-24 Buffalo.

  • The Lions (-112) have an 8-10-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Bills (-108) hold a record of 10-10-0 across the same span.
  • The Lions have an 11-7-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 11 games have gone over the total points line and seven have gone under). The Bills have an 11-8-1 O/U record over the same span.

Points on the board

  • The Lions have scored 28.4 points per game since the beginning of last season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Bills have averaged 28.7 over the same span (2nd).
  • Defensively, the Lions have conceded 24.6 points per game since the beginning of last season (20th in the league), while the Bills have given up an average of 22.0 points over that span (12th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 372.9, the Lions rank 6th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Bills rank 4th with 378.1 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Lions have given up 339.5 per game since the beginning of last season (19th in the league), an inferior number to the Bills who have allowed an average of 298.0 (9th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Lions have recorded 250.4 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (3rd in the league). However, nothing should come easily against the Bills' effective defense, which has allowed just 162.5 passing yards per game (1st) over the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Bills have recorded 222.6 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (13th in the league), while the Lions' defense has conceded 226.3 passing yards per game (21st) over the same period, potentially putting them on the back foot.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Lions have recorded 122.6 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (10th in the league). This could be an area they look to exploit against the Bills, who rank T28th for opponent rushing yards across the same period, conceding 135.5 per game.
  • On the other hand, the Bills have recorded 155.6 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (2nd in the league), while the Lions are giving up 113.2 rushing yards per game (12th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Lions have recorded 22 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T12th in the league), while the Bills have recorded 22 (T12th).
  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, both teams have recorded 22 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T12th in the league).
  • On offense, the Lions have recorded 16 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T5th in the league), while the Bills have recorded 19 (T11th).

First to Score

  • The Lions have scored first in 11 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have scored first in nine of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Lions have recorded the first touchdown in 12 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Detroit Touchdown8 / 18
    Detroit Field Goal3 / 18
    Detroit Safety0 / 18
    Buffalo Touchdown6 / 18
    Buffalo Field Goal3 / 18
    Buffalo Safety0 / 18

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Lions have been the first to score 10 points in 12 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in 10 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bills are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -166, while the Lions are +140.

  • The Lions have a 7-8-3 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Bills hold a record of 10-7-3 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Bills recorded a 48-42 victory over the Lions at Ford Field when these teams last met in Week 15, 2024. The Bills have now won five straight against the Lions.