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NFL Prop Bets: New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers - Week 2

The Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) face the New England Patriots (0-1) at Gillette Stadium for Week 2. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup.

The total points line is set at 42.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-18 New England.

  • The Steelers (-110) have a 10-9-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Patriots (-110) hold a record of 14-7-1 across the same span.
  • The Steelers have a 9-9-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning nine games have gone over the total points line, nine have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Patriots have a 12-10-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Steelers have scored 23.2 points per game since the beginning of last season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots have averaged 27.8 over the same span (T5th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of just 303.3, the Steelers rank 26th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Patriots rank 5th with 373.7 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Steelers have given up 350.3 per game since the beginning of last season (25th in the league), an inferior number to the Patriots who have allowed an average of 294.7 (8th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Steelers have recorded 202.6 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Patriots' defense has given up 193.2 passing yards per game (12th) across the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Patriots have recorded 245.9 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (4th in the league), while the Steelers' defense has given up 236.9 passing yards per game (27th) across the same period.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Steelers have recorded 100.8 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (26th in the league). Conversely, the Patriots are giving up 101.4 rushing yards per game (6th) across the same period.
  • On the other hand, the Patriots have recorded 127.8 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league), although the Steelers have been effective at stifling the run, conceding just 113.4 yards per game (13th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Steelers have recorded 29 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T3rd in the league), while the Patriots have failed to perform at the same level, recording 19 (21st).
  • On offense, the Steelers have recorded 16 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T5th in the league), while the Patriots have recorded 19 (T11th).

First to Score

  • The Steelers have scored first in 10 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Patriots have scored first in 11 of their 22 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Steelers have recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Pittsburgh Touchdown4 / 19
    Pittsburgh Field Goal6 / 19
    Pittsburgh Safety0 / 19
    New England Touchdown7 / 18
    New England Field Goal4 / 18
    New England Safety0 / 18

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Steelers have been the first to score 10 points in 13 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in 15 of their 18 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Patriots are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -155, while the Steelers are +130.

  • The Steelers have a 9-7-3 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Patriots hold a record of 9-8-5 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Steelers recorded a 21-14 victory over the Patriots at Gillette Stadium when these teams last met in Week 3, 2025. That result snapped the Patriots' three-game winning streak against the Steelers.