NFL Prop Bets: Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots - Week 7

The New England Patriots (4-2) face the Chicago Bears (4-2) at Soldier Field for Week 7. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Bears are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 3.0-point favorites, while the Patriots are at +130.

The total points line is set at 50.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 27-24 Chicago.

• The Patriots (-118) have a 3-1-2 ATS record this season, while the Bears (-102) hold a record of 4-2-0.
• The Patriots have a 3-3-0 O/U record this season (meaning three games have gone over the total points line and three have gone under). The Bears have a 2-4-0 O/U record.

Points on the board

• The Patriots are averaging 22.7 points per game this season (T18th in the league). Comparatively, the Bears are averaging 25.0 (12th).
• Defensively, the Patriots are giving up 18.8 points per game this season (5th in the league), while the Bears are giving up an average of 19.8 points (6th).

Moving the chains

• With an average of 374.2, the Patriots rank 7th in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Bears rank 5th with 388.3 yards per game.
• In terms of yards allowed, the Patriots are giving up 300.8 per game this season (6th in the league), while the Bears are giving up an average of 302.3 (7th).

Ascendency in the air

• The Patriots have recorded 243.5 passing yards per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Bears' defense has given up 211.8 passing yards per game (14th).
• Meanwhile, the Bears have recorded 227.7 passing yards per game this season (15th in the league), while the Patriots' defense has given up 209.0 passing yards per game (11th).

Advantage on the ground

• Looking at the ground game, the Patriots have recorded 130.7 rushing yards per game this season (6th in the league). Conversely, the Bears are giving up 90.5 rushing yards per game (8th).
• On the other hand, the Bears have recorded 160.7 rushing yards per game this season (1st in the league), while the Patriots are giving up 91.8 rushing yards per game (9th).

Protecting the ball

• Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Patriots have recorded 7 total takeaways this season (T18th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Bears, who have recorded 9 (T8th).
• On offense, the Patriots have recorded 13 total giveaways this season (31st in the league), while the Bears have recorded 11 (T24th).

First to Score

The Patriots are +130 to score first, while the Bears are -166.

• The Patriots have scored first in four of their six games this season.
• The Bears have scored first in three of their six games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Patriots are +120 to record the first touchdown, while the Bears are -150.

• The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in five of their six games this season.
• The Bears have recorded the first touchdown in three of their six games this season.

First Scoring Play

Play	Frequency	Odds
New England Touchdown	4 / 6	+282
New England Field Goal	0 / 6	+463
New England Safety	0 / 6	+5700
Chicago Touchdown	3 / 6	+151
Chicago Field Goal	0 / 6	+318
Chicago Safety	0 / 6	+7500

Which team will get a quick start?

The Patriots are +132 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Bears are -165.

• The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in five of their six games this season.
• The Bears have been the first to score 10 points in four of their six games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bears are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -162, while the Patriots are +136.

• The Patriots have a 4-0-2 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Bears hold a record of 4-1-1.

Last Time They Met

The Patriots recorded an upset 19-3 victory over the Bears at Soldier Field when these teams last met in Week 10, 2024. The Patriots have now won three straight at Soldier Field against the Bears.