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NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators (February 28, 2026)

The Ottawa Senators (28-22-8) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (27-23-9) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup.

  • The Senators have a 24-34 Puck Line record this season, while the Maple Leafs hold a record of 25-34.
  • The Senators have a 32-25-1 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line, 25 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Maple Leafs have a 32-22-5 O/U record.

Goals For Insights

  • The Senators are averaging 3.26 goals per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.22 (14th).
  • Defensively, the Senators are giving up 3.21 goals per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Maple Leafs are giving up an average of 3.42 goals (27th).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Ottawa is averaging 28.5 shots per game this season (14th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto is allowing its opposition 31.8 shots per game (32nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Senators are allowing 24.4 shots per game (1st in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs are averaging 27.5 shots (19th).

Power Play

  • Ottawa holds a power play percentage of 23.4%, ranking 8th in the league this season, while Toronto sits T18th with 19.6% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Senators have a penalty kill rate of just 72.8% (ranked 30th), compared to the Maple Leafs at 83.8% (4th).

P1 Result

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Ottawa 21-17-20 9-9-11 12-8-9 4-2-4
    Toronto 20-18-21 12-10-9 8-8-12 1-4-5

To Go To Overtime

  • The Senators have played in 14 games that have gone to overtime this season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 17.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Senators have played in 3 games that have gone to a shootout this season, while the Maple Leafs have appeared in 2.

Last Time They Met

Toronto recorded a 5-7 victory over Ottawa at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on December 27. Auston Matthews led the way to that result, recording 1 goal and 2 assists.