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NHL Prop Bets: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens (September 29, 2026)

The Montreal Canadiens (0-0-0) face the Toronto Maple Leafs (0-0-0) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NHL Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Maple Leafs are favored to win at -115. They're currently +210 to cover the -1.5 puck line while the Canadiens are -258 to cover the +1.5 puck line.

  • The Canadiens had a 59-42 Puck Line record last season, while the Maple Leafs held a record of 35-47.

The total goals line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Canadiens had a 50-45-6 O/U record last season (meaning 50 games went over the total points line, 45 went under and six resulted in a push). The Maple Leafs had a 45-31-6 O/U record last season.

Goals For Insights

  • The Canadiens scored 3.40 goals per game last season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Maple Leafs averaged 3.07 (16th).
  • Defensively, the Canadiens allowed 3.06 goals per game last season (T16th in the league), while the Maple Leafs gave up an average of 3.60 goals (31st).

Shots

  • Looking at creating chances to score, Montreal averaged 26.3 shots per game last season (24th in the NHL). Meanwhile, Toronto allowed its opposition 32.4 shots per game (32nd).
  • Flipping that script, the Canadiens allowed 27.8 shots per game (18th in the NHL), while the Maple Leafs averaged 26.3 shots (23rd).

Power Play

  • Montreal held a power play percentage of 23.1% last season, ranking 10th in the league, while Toronto sat 15th with 21.3% of its power play opportunities converted.

Penalty Kill %

  • On the opposite end, the Canadiens had a penalty kill rate of 78.2% (ranked 18th), compared to the Maple Leafs at 81.2% (8th).

P1 Result

Montreal is +180 to win the first period, while Toronto is +175.

  • Here are their first period records in 2025/26.
    Total Home Road Last 10
    Montreal 35-30-36 16-15-18 19-15-18
    Toronto 24-30-28 15-15-11 9-15-17

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +290 to go to overtime.

  • The Canadiens played in 31 games that went to overtime last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 23.

To Go To a Shootout

  • The Canadiens played in 9 games that went to a shootout last season, while the Maple Leafs appeared in 5.

Last Time They Met

Montreal recorded a 3-1 victory over Toronto at Bell Centre when these teams last met on March 10, 2026. The Canadiens have now won three straight against the Maple Leafs. Jake Evans led the way to that result, scoring 1 goal.