MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates (March 26, 2026)
The Pittsburgh Pirates (0-0) face the New York Mets (0-0) at Citi Field on Thursday at 1:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Paul Skenes is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -118, while the Pirates are at -102. The total runs line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.
- The Pirates (+168) had an 89-73 Run Line record last season, while the Mets (-205) held a record of 77-85.
- The Pirates had a 62-93-7 O/U record last season (meaning 62 games went over the total runs line, 93 went under and seven resulted in a push). The Mets had a 76-78-8 O/U record last season.
Scoring Insights
- The Pirates scored 3.6 runs per game last season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets averaged 4.7 (T9th).
- In the field, the Pirates allowed only 4.0 runs per game last season (5th in the league), while the Mets gave up an average of 4.4 runs (18th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages last season, the Pirates were at .231 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Mets batted .249 (14th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs last season, the Mets were one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 224 to rank 5th. Alternatively, the Pirates were at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 117 (30th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates recorded 561 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB last season. Comparatively, the Mets recorded 746 RBIs to rank 9th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets had an earned run average of 4.03 last season (18th in the Majors), while The Pirates had an ERA of 3.76 (7th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates recorded 1314 last season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets ranked 11th for total strikeouts, recording 1387.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents batted an average of .246 against the Mets last season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents were at .236 (8th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2025.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 34-30-98 | 19-15-47 | 15-15-51 | 12-4-31 | 22-26-67 | 0-0-0 |
| Mets | 43-28-91 | 25-12-43 | 18-16-47 | 34-20-62 | 9-8-29 | 0-0-1 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2025.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | 60-49-53 | 37-24-20 | 23-25-33 | 21-13-13 | 39-36-40 | 0-0-0 |
| Mets | 70-57-35 | 37-27-16 | 32-30-19 | 48-41-27 | 22-16-8 | 1-0-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -165 and the YRFI is paying +125.
- The NRFI was 91-71 in Pirates games last season. The Mets had an 88-74 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Pirates recorded a lopsided 12-1 victory against the Mets at PNC Park when these teams last met on June 29, 2025. Oneil Cruz was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 4 RBIs. The Pirates have now won four straight against the Mets.
