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MLB Prop Bets: Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians (March 26, 2026)

The Cleveland Guardians (0-0) face the Seattle Mariners (0-0) at T-Mobile Park on Thursday at 10:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Logan Gilbert is the probable pitcher for the Mariners. The Mariners are favored to win at -193, while the Guardians are at +159. The total runs line is set at 6.5, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +102.

  • The Guardians (-149) had an 89-76 Run Line record last season, while the Mariners (+123) held a record of 76-98.
  • The Guardians had a 72-86-7 O/U record last season (meaning 72 games went over the total runs line, 86 went under and seven resulted in a push). The Mariners had a 95-72-7 O/U record last season.

Scoring Insights

  • The Guardians scored 4.0 runs per game last season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Mariners averaged 4.7 (T9th).
  • In the field, the Guardians allowed 4.0 runs per game last season (T7th in the league), while the Mariners gave up an average of 4.3 runs (17th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages last season, the Guardians were at .226 (ranking 29th in the Major leagues), while the Mariners batted .244 (20th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs last season, the Mariners hit 238 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians managed 168 (20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians recorded 621 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB last season. Comparatively, the Mariners recorded 734 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mariners had an earned run average of 3.87 last season (13th in the Majors), while The Guardians had an ERA of 3.70 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians recorded 1381 last season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mariners ranked 7th for total strikeouts, recording 1426.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents batted an average of .241 against the Mariners last season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents were at .238 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Guardians 37-31-97 22-17-45 15-14-52 20-15-38 17-16-59 0-0-0
    Mariners 40-36-98 18-14-55 22-22-42 31-23-69 9-13-29 0-0-1

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral
    Guardians 60-59-46 31-31-22 29-28-24 30-24-19 30-35-27 0-0-0
    Mariners 69-57-48 35-22-30 34-34-18 53-34-36 16-23-12 0-1-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.

  • The NRFI was 91-74 in Guardians games last season. The Mariners had a 90-84 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mariners recorded a 4-2 victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field when these teams last met on August 31, 2025. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Daniel Schneemann went yard in that matchup, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Guardians' four-game winning streak against the Mariners at Progressive Field.