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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners (April 29, 2026)

The Seattle Mariners (15-16) face the Minnesota Twins (13-17) at Target Field on Wednesday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. George Kirby is the probable pitcher for the Mariners, while Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Mariners are favored to win at -131, while the Twins are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Mariners (+129) have a 13-18 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-156) hold a record of 15-15.
  • The Mariners have a 15-16-0 O/U record this season (meaning 15 games have gone over the total runs line and 16 have gone under). The Twins have a 17-12-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mariners are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.6 more at 4.8 runs (T9th).
  • In the field, the Mariners are allowing only 4.0 runs per game this season (5th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.8 runs (22nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mariners are at .235 (ranking 22nd in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .229 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 36 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mariners have managed 33 (13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mariners have recorded 126 RBIs to rank T17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 139 RBIs to rank T9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.40 this season (22nd in the Majors), while The Mariners have an ERA of 3.69 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mariners have recorded 248 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T22nd for total strikeouts, recording 237.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .253 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mariners' opponents are at .258 (24th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 8-8-15 7-6-4 1-2-11 8-7-12 0-1-3 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Twins 7-6-17 6-1-8 1-5-9 2-0-3 5-6-14 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 11-12-8 8-6-3 3-6-5 9-11-7 2-1-1 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Twins 13-11-6 8-3-4 5-8-2 3-1-1 10-10-5 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 12-19 in Mariners games this season. The Twins have a 17-13 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mariners recorded a 7-1 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Josh Naylor dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 4 RBIs. That result snapped the Twins' three-game winning streak against the Mariners.