MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds (May 2, 2026)
The Cincinnati Reds (20-12) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (17-16) at PNC Park on Saturday at 4:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Rhett Lowder is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Carmen Mlodzinski is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -136, while the Reds are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Reds (-186) have a 19-13 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+153) hold a record of 18-15.
- The Reds have a 20-12-0 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total runs line and 12 have gone under). The Pirates have an 18-15-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging +0.7 more at 4.9 runs (9th).
- In the field, the Reds are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .217 (ranking 30th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .247 (11th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 38 (T11th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 42 (T6th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 124 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 156 RBIs to rank 8th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.73 this season (6th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 4.19 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 252 this season, ranking T24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 1st for total strikeouts, recording 309.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .221 against the Pirates this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .250 (21st).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 8-9-15 | 5-5-8 | 3-4-7 | 3-2-4 | 5-7-11 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Pirates | 11-4-18 | 6-3-9 | 5-1-9 | 7-3-8 | 4-1-10 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Reds are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Pirates are -135.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 9-14-9 | 6-8-4 | 3-6-5 | 4-3-2 | 5-11-7 | 0-0-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Pirates | 15-8-10 | 9-4-5 | 6-4-5 | 10-5-3 | 5-3-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 14-18 in Reds games this season. The Pirates have an 18-15 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Pirates recorded a lopsided 9-1 victory against the Reds at PNC Park yesterday. Henry Davis was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs. The Pirates have now won three straight against the Reds.
