MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies (May 2, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (13-19) face the Miami Marlins (15-17) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Andrew Painter is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -126, while the Phillies are at +104. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Phillies (+160) have a 6-26 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-194) hold a record of 15-17.
- The Phillies have a 16-14-2 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total runs line, 14 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 19-11-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging +0.5 more at 4.4 runs (17th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing a whopping 5.3 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (T12th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .228 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .250 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 23 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 34 (15th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 122 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 134 RBIs to rank 18th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.01 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.84 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 303 this season, ranking T3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 269.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .224 against the Marlins this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .278 (30th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 10-10-12 | 7-5-6 | 3-5-6 | 8-7-9 | 2-3-3 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Marlins | 7-6-19 | 4-1-12 | 3-5-7 | 4-1-13 | 3-5-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 10-16-6 | 8-8-2 | 2-8-4 | 8-12-4 | 2-4-2 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Marlins | 14-11-7 | 8-4-5 | 6-7-2 | 9-4-5 | 5-7-2 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 12-20 in Phillies games this season. The Marlins have a 17-15 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded a 6-5 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Bryson Stott went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. The Phillies have now won three straight against the Marlins.
