MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (May 2, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (15-17) face the Minnesota Twins (14-19) at Target Field on Saturday at 2:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dylan Cease is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Connor Prielipp is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -131, while the Twins are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Blue Jays (+129) have a 14-18 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-156) hold a record of 16-17.
- The Blue Jays have a 16-15-1 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total runs line, 15 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Twins have an 18-12-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.7 more at 4.8 runs (10th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.7 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (21st).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .250 (ranking 8th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .235 (19th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 39 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 28 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 124 RBIs to rank T24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 151 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.33 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.27 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 304 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T24th for total strikeouts, recording 252.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Twins this season (22nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .245 (17th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 6-8-18 | 4-4-10 | 2-4-8 | 6-6-10 | 0-2-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
| Twins | 7-6-20 | 6-1-11 | 1-5-9 | 2-0-3 | 5-6-17 | 0-0-0 | 0-3-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Blue Jays are -130 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are +100.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 10-11-11 | 7-7-4 | 3-4-7 | 8-7-7 | 2-4-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Twins | 13-12-8 | 8-4-6 | 5-8-2 | 3-1-1 | 10-11-7 | 0-0-0 | 1-5-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 17-15 in Blue Jays games this season. The Twins have a 20-13 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded a 7-3 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Kazuma Okamoto was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Twins' three-game winning streak against the Blue Jays.
