MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins (May 9, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (16-23) face the Cleveland Guardians (21-19) at Progressive Field on Saturday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -120, while the Twins are at +100. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -117.
- The Twins (+159) have an 18-21 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-194) hold a record of 21-19.
- The Twins have a 23-13-3 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 13 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 20-20-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (T8th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 4.2 (21st).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (13th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .238 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .232 (22nd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 40 (T17th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 44 (11th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 178 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 160 RBIs to rank T15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 4.01 this season (14th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.76 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded an impressive 360 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Twins rank T27th for total strikeouts, recording only 294.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Guardians this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .255 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 9-8-22 | 8-1-11 | 1-7-11 | 2-1-4 | 7-7-18 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Guardians | 9-6-25 | 4-2-11 | 5-4-14 | 4-4-11 | 5-2-14 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 17-13-9 | 10-4-6 | 7-9-3 | 5-1-1 | 12-12-8 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Guardians | 15-13-12 | 7-4-6 | 8-9-6 | 7-4-8 | 8-9-4 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 22-17 in Twins games this season. The Guardians have a 22-18 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 6-4 victory over the Twins at Progressive Field yesterday. Travis Bazzana went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
