MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals (May 9, 2026)
The Washington Nationals (19-20) face the Miami Marlins (17-22) at LoanDepot Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zack Littell is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -163, while the Nationals are at +135. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.
- The Nationals (-163) have a 23-16 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+135) hold a record of 16-23.
- The Nationals have a 24-14-1 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total runs line, 14 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 22-15-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Nationals are averaging 5.3 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.2 (22nd).
- In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.6 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (16th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .241 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .246 (9th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 29 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 43 (T12th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 194 RBIs to rank 4th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 153 RBIs to rank T22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.06 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Nationals have an ERA of 4.73 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 296 this season, ranking 26th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 326.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .223 against the Marlins this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .254 (22nd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 14-8-17 | 8-4-7 | 6-4-10 | 0-1-1 | 14-7-16 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Marlins | 8-9-22 | 5-4-15 | 3-5-7 | 5-3-16 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | 12-17-10 | 6-9-4 | 6-8-6 | 0-0-2 | 12-17-8 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Marlins | 16-15-8 | 10-8-6 | 6-7-2 | 11-7-6 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 17-22 in Nationals games this season. The Marlins have a 19-20 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a 3-2 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Jacob Young went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
