MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros (May 9, 2026)
The Houston Astros (16-23) face the Cincinnati Reds (20-19) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Spencer Arrighetti is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Chase Burns is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -171, while the Astros are at +141. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Astros (-149) have a 16-23 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (+123) hold a record of 23-16.
- The Astros have a 26-12-1 O/U record this season (meaning 26 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Reds have a 24-15-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Astros are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging only 4.0 (24th).
- In the field, the Astros are allowing a whopping 5.7 runs per game this season (30th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (24th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at an impressive .264 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting an underwhelming .218 (30th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 52 (3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Astros have managed 51 (T4th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have been outstanding this season, recording 185 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Reds have performed poorly in this area, recording only 145 RBIs to rank 26th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Reds have an earned run average of 4.73 this season (T25th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 5.67 (30th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded an impressive 350 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Reds rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording only 297.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .256 against the Reds this season (26th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .264 (27th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 15-11-13 | 9-4-6 | 6-7-7 | 4-4-8 | 11-7-5 | 0-0-0 | 4-1-5 |
| Reds | 9-11-19 | 5-5-9 | 4-6-10 | 3-2-5 | 6-9-14 | 0-0-0 | 1-5-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 15-14-10 | 8-7-4 | 7-7-6 | 6-6-4 | 9-8-6 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Reds | 11-18-10 | 6-9-4 | 5-9-6 | 4-4-2 | 7-14-8 | 0-0-0 | 2-7-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 12-27 in Astros games this season. The Reds have an 18-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Astros recorded a lopsided 10-0 victory against the Reds at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Yordan Alvarez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Reds' six-game winning streak against the Astros at Great American Ball Park.
