MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Detroit Tigers (May 12, 2026)
The Detroit Tigers (19-22) face the New York Mets (15-25) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jack Flaherty is the probable pitcher for the Tigers, while Freddy Peralta is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -149, while the Tigers are at +123. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.
- The Tigers (-171) have a 19-22 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+141) hold a record of 15-25.
- The Tigers have a 19-21-1 O/U record this season (meaning 19 games have gone over the total runs line, 21 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Mets have a 14-24-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (T16th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 3.5 (29th).
- In the field, the Tigers are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (13th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Tigers are at .242 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .222 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 31 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Tigers have managed 37 (T22nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Tigers have recorded 166 RBIs to rank T18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 132 RBIs to rank 30th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 3.85 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Tigers have an ERA of 3.90 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Tigers have recorded 342 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 376.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .230 against the Mets this season (10th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Tigers' opponents are at .241 (14th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 8-8-25 | 5-2-11 | 3-6-14 | 8-6-13 | 0-2-12 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Mets | 9-9-22 | 7-3-8 | 2-6-14 | 9-6-15 | 0-3-7 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Tigers are +120 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are -154.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | 16-16-9 | 9-6-3 | 7-10-6 | 14-9-4 | 2-7-5 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Mets | 13-16-11 | 8-7-3 | 5-9-8 | 11-11-8 | 2-5-3 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 24-17 in Tigers games this season. The Mets have a 20-20 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Tigers recorded a 6-2 victory over the Mets at Comerica Park when these teams last met on September 3, 2025. Kerry Carpenter went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. That result snapped the Mets' three-game winning streak against the Tigers.
