MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins (May 12, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (19-22) face the Minnesota Twins (18-23) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Bailey Ober is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -115, while the Marlins are at -105. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -120.
- The Marlins (+145) have a 17-24 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-176) hold a record of 20-21.
- The Marlins have a 23-16-2 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 16 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 24-14-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 (8th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .237 (17th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 45 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 32 (26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 166 RBIs to rank T18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 184 RBIs to rank 9th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.63 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.08 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 339 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T26th for total strikeouts, recording 310.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins' opponents are at .224 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 8-10-23 | 5-5-16 | 3-5-7 | 5-4-17 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Twins | 10-8-23 | 8-1-11 | 2-7-12 | 2-1-4 | 8-7-19 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -115.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 17-16-8 | 11-9-6 | 6-7-2 | 12-8-6 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-5-1 |
| Twins | 18-13-10 | 10-4-6 | 8-9-4 | 5-1-1 | 13-12-9 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 20-21 in Marlins games this season. The Twins have a 23-18 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 4-1 victory over the Twins at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on July 3, 2025. Agustin Ramirez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
