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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays (June 5, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-23) face the Miami Marlins (29-34) at LoanDepot Park on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Ryan Gusto is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Rays are favored to win at -143, while the Marlins are at +119. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -111 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Rays (+119) have a 33-26 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-144) hold a record of 27-36.
  • The Rays have a 30-26-3 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total runs line, 26 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 38-23-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.3 (19th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (17th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .256 (ranking 5th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .244 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 54 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rays have managed 51 (28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 259 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 257 RBIs to rank 17th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.30 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 4.02 (15th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 449 this season, ranking 29th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T11th for total strikeouts, recording 531.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .241 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 16-12-31 8-8-14 8-4-17 11-10-17 5-2-14 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Marlins 14-16-33 7-7-19 7-9-14 6-5-23 8-11-10 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 22-21-16 12-10-8 10-11-8 16-16-6 6-5-10 0-0-0 1-6-3
    Marlins 24-25-14 14-11-8 10-14-6 15-9-10 9-16-4 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 28-31 in Rays games this season. The Marlins have a 30-33 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 6-3 victory over the Marlins at Tropicana Field when these teams last met on May 17. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Otto Lopez did what he could, hitting a home run.