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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates (June 5, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (34-29) face the Atlanta Braves (42-21) at Truist Park on Friday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Mitch Keller is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Martin Perez is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -143, while the Pirates are at +119. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.

  • The Pirates (-181) have a 32-31 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+149) hold a record of 40-23.
  • The Pirates have a 34-27-2 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total runs line, 27 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 30-27-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 5.2 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging 5.2 (3rd).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (20th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.5 runs (2nd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .256 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .257 (2nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 88 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 74 (10th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 310 RBIs to rank 4th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 323 RBIs to rank 1st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 3.22 this season (2nd in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.00 (13th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 576 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 556.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .219 against the Braves this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .231 (7th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 23-9-31 12-5-16 11-4-15 15-5-16 8-4-15 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Braves 17-15-31 9-4-17 8-11-14 14-14-22 3-1-9 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 29-17-17 18-6-9 11-11-8 19-8-9 10-9-8 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Braves 28-20-15 15-7-8 13-13-7 24-14-12 4-6-3 0-0-0 3-3-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 30-33 in Pirates games this season. The Braves have a 28-35 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded an upset 4-1 victory over the Pirates at Truist Park when these teams last met on September 28, 2025. Ronald Acuna Jr. went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Pirates' three-game winning streak against the Braves.