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MLB Prop Bets: San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves (June 22, 2026)

The Atlanta Braves (48-28) face the San Diego Padres (39-37) at Petco Park on Monday at 10:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Michael King is the probable pitcher for the Padres. The Braves are favored to win at -112, while the Padres are at -108. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +105 and UNDER at -126.

  • The Braves (+158) have a 44-32 Run Line record this season, while the Padres (-193) hold a record of 38-38.
  • The Braves have a 37-31-8 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 31 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Padres have a 33-42-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Padres are averaging only 3.9 (30th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Padres are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at an impressive .253 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting an underwhelming .220 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Padres have hit 78 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 101 (T6th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have been outstanding this season, recording 367 RBIs to rank T6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Padres have performed poorly in this area, recording only 289 RBIs to rank 29th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Padres have an earned run average of 3.90 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.40 (2nd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 656 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 628.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .243 against the Padres this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .225 (4th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 21-19-36 12-6-20 9-13-16 18-16-24 3-3-12 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Padres 10-15-51 6-8-24 4-7-25 6-5-23 4-10-28 0-0-2 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 31-27-18 16-12-10 15-15-8 26-18-14 5-9-4 0-0-0 2-6-2
    Padres 20-31-25 11-16-11 8-14-14 7-13-14 13-18-11 1-1-0 5-4-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 33-43 in Braves games this season. The Padres have a 49-27 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Padres recorded a 5-3 victory over the Braves at Truist Park when these teams last met on May 25, 2025. Manny Machado was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.