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MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 5, 2026)

The Tampa Bay Rays (52-34) face the Houston Astros (44-47) at Daikin Park on Sunday at 3:30pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Griffin Jax is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Peter Lambert is the probable pitcher for the Astros.

  • The Rays have a 38-45-3 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 48-39-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rays are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging 4.5 (16th).
  • In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (25th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .260 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .242 (18th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 120 to rank T5th. Alternatively, the Rays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 84 (26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 377 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 393 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 4.78 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Rays have an ERA of 3.76 (8th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 674 this season, ranking 27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 786.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .240 against the Astros this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .233 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 24-17-45 13-9-21 11-8-24 17-14-26 7-3-19 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Astros 29-24-38 16-12-18 13-12-20 9-9-14 20-15-24 0-0-0 1-2-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Rays 35-25-26 18-13-12 17-12-14 27-19-11 8-6-15 0-0-0 8-0-2
    Astros 31-38-22 17-19-10 14-19-12 10-16-6 21-22-16 0-0-0 0-6-4

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 41-45 in Rays games this season. The Astros have a 36-55 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 10-8 victory over the Rays at Daikin Park yesterday. Yordan Alvarez was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 6 RBIs.