MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies (July 5, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (50-39) face the Kansas City Royals (35-54) at Kauffman Stadium on Sunday at 3:00pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Luinder Avila is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Phillies are favored to win at -143, while the Royals are at +119. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -113 and UNDER at -107.
- The Phillies (+119) have a 36-53 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-143) hold a record of 39-50.
- The Phillies have a 38-47-4 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 43-44-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.1 (T22nd).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .241 (19th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 87 (T24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 120 (T5th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 386 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 346 RBIs to rank 25th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Royals have an earned run average of 4.88 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.11 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded an impressive 864 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording only 679.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .263 against the Royals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .255 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 26-20-43 | 15-9-22 | 11-11-21 | 23-14-29 | 3-6-14 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Royals | 18-24-47 | 8-13-24 | 10-11-23 | 5-9-21 | 13-15-26 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 37-34-18 | 22-16-8 | 15-18-10 | 31-24-11 | 6-10-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Royals | 27-45-17 | 14-22-9 | 13-23-8 | 10-19-6 | 17-26-11 | 0-0-0 | 1-6-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +105 and the YRFI is paying -140.
- The NRFI is 42-47 in Phillies games this season. The Royals have a 44-45 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded a 6-1 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium yesterday. Alec Bohm was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Phillies have now won three straight at Kauffman Stadium against the Royals.
