MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays (July 25, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (47-57) face the Boston Red Sox (53-49) at Fenway Park on Saturday at 4:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dylan Cease is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Sonny Gray is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -120, while the Blue Jays are at +100. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The Blue Jays (+166) have a 49-55 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (-203) hold a record of 49-53.
- The Blue Jays have a 53-47-4 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 46-52-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging +0.3 more at 4.2 runs (20th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (3rd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .241 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .245 (14th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 98 (29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 103 (27th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 392 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 414 RBIs to rank 24th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.56 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.17 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 923 this season, ranking T7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank 17th for total strikeouts, recording 865.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Red Sox this season (12th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .243 (16th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 20-33-51 | 11-19-26 | 9-14-25 | 14-21-25 | 6-12-26 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Red Sox | 21-33-48 | 13-14-25 | 8-19-23 | 15-19-32 | 6-14-16 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Blue Jays are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Red Sox are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 33-46-25 | 18-24-14 | 15-22-11 | 22-24-14 | 11-22-11 | 0-0-0 | 1-6-3 |
| Red Sox | 42-36-24 | 24-18-10 | 18-18-14 | 31-19-16 | 11-17-8 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -150 and the YRFI is paying +115.
- The NRFI is 48-56 in Blue Jays games this season. The Red Sox have a 46-56 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Red Sox recorded a 6-4 victory over the Blue Jays at Fenway Park yesterday. Anthony Seigler was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Blue Jays' five-game winning streak against the Red Sox.
