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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays (July 26, 2026)

The Toronto Blue Jays (48-57) face the Boston Red Sox (53-50) at Fenway Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kevin Gausman is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Ranger Suarez is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -137, while the Blue Jays are at +114. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.

  • The Blue Jays (-181) have a 50-55 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (+149) hold a record of 49-54.
  • The Blue Jays have a 53-48-4 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 48 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 46-53-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging 4.2 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (T17th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .242 (ranking 16th in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .243 (15th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Red Sox have hit 98 (29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 104 (T26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 398 RBIs to rank 30th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Red Sox have recorded 414 RBIs to rank 25th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.59 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.13 (12th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 935 this season, ranking 7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Red Sox rank T17th for total strikeouts, recording 874.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .240 against the Red Sox this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .241 (16th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 20-33-52 11-19-26 9-14-26 14-21-26 6-12-26 0-0-0 3-2-5
    Red Sox 21-33-49 13-14-26 8-19-23 15-19-32 6-14-17 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Blue Jays are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Red Sox are -135.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 34-46-25 18-24-14 16-22-11 23-24-14 11-22-11 0-0-0 2-5-3
    Red Sox 42-37-24 24-19-10 18-18-14 31-19-16 11-18-8 0-0-0 7-3-0

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 49-56 in Blue Jays games this season. The Red Sox have a 47-56 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 6-0 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park yesterday. George Springer was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs.