MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres (July 26, 2026)
The San Diego Padres (52-53) face the Miami Marlins (52-53) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Walker Buehler is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -131, while the Padres are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Padres (-187) have a 53-52 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+153) hold a record of 51-54.
- The Padres have a 48-56-1 O/U record this season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total runs line, 56 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 54-49-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Padres are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.4 (17th).
- In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .230 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .250 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 106 (24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 116 (20th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 426 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 444 RBIs to rank 16th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.08 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.21 (17th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 853 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 879.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .230 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .248 (21st).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | 16-22-67 | 9-11-31 | 7-11-34 | 9-8-27 | 7-14-40 | 0-0-2 | 1-4-5 |
| Marlins | 21-22-62 | 10-9-34 | 11-13-28 | 10-6-36 | 11-16-26 | 0-0-0 | 0-2-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Padres are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -135.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | 34-42-29 | 19-19-13 | 14-22-16 | 12-16-16 | 22-26-13 | 1-1-0 | 4-5-1 |
| Marlins | 41-39-25 | 22-15-16 | 19-24-9 | 22-13-17 | 19-26-8 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 64-41 in Padres games this season. The Marlins have a 56-49 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Padres recorded a 7-2 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Esteury Ruiz did what he could, hitting a home run.
