MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians (July 26, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians (54-52) face the Tampa Bay Rays (61-43) at Tropicana Field on Sunday at 12:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Parker Messick is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -136, while the Guardians are at +113. The total runs line is set at 7.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -107.
- The Guardians (-193) have a 49-57 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+158) hold a record of 61-43.
- The Guardians have a 50-56-0 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line and 56 have gone under). The Rays have a 47-53-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging +0.6 more at 4.5 runs (13th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (9th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .261 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting an underwhelming .232 (27th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 105 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 104 (T26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 402 RBIs to rank 29th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 448 RBIs to rank 15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.79 this season (9th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.77 (8th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 969 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 829.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Rays this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .239 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 21-18-67 | 13-9-31 | 8-9-36 | 13-10-37 | 8-8-30 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Rays | 26-20-58 | 14-9-29 | 12-11-29 | 18-15-33 | 8-5-25 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Guardians are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -145.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 37-32-37 | 22-15-16 | 15-17-21 | 23-18-19 | 14-14-18 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Rays | 41-33-30 | 22-16-14 | 19-17-16 | 31-23-12 | 10-10-18 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 63-43 in Guardians games this season. The Rays have a 54-50 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded a 3-0 victory over the Guardians at Tropicana Field yesterday. Yandy Diaz led the way to that victory, hitting a home run. The Rays have now won three straight at Tropicana Field against the Guardians.
