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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles (August 12, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (58-62) face the Minnesota Twins (59-62) at Target Field on Wednesday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Zebby Matthews is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -105, while the Orioles are at -102. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Orioles (+152) have a 62-58 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-185) hold a record of 67-54.
  • The Orioles have a 59-56-5 O/U record this season (meaning 59 games have gone over the total runs line, 56 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 63-50-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 (9th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .236 (ranking 24th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .244 (14th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 143 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 141 (T14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 519 RBIs to rank T12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 536 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.59 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.21 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 952 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank T17th for total strikeouts, recording 998.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .252 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 23-26-71 8-10-44 15-16-27 9-8-41 14-18-30 0-0-0 3-0-7
    Twins 27-34-60 13-11-35 14-23-25 8-9-19 19-25-41 0-0-0 0-7-3

Lead After Three Innings

The Orioles are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -115.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 42-48-30 24-22-16 18-26-14 19-20-19 23-28-11 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Twins 45-49-27 23-19-17 22-30-10 14-12-10 31-37-17 0-0-0 2-7-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 65-55 in Orioles games this season. The Twins have a 52-69 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded a 5-2 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Gunnar Henderson was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Twins' four-game winning streak against the Orioles at Target Field.