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MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets (August 12, 2026)

The New York Mets (53-68) face the Atlanta Braves (72-48) at Truist Park on Wednesday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zach Thornton is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Tyler Mahle is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -148, while the Mets are at +138. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -101.

  • The Mets (-163) have a 58-63 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+135) hold a record of 67-53.
  • The Mets have a 54-58-9 O/U record this season (meaning 54 games have gone over the total runs line, 58 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 56-56-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging +0.7 more at 4.9 runs (6th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (19th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .235 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .248 (10th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 161 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 145 (T10th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 484 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 562 RBIs to rank 5th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have an earned run average of 3.61 this season (5th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.12 (16th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1090 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 1031.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Braves this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .238 (10th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 27-29-65 17-11-31 10-18-34 20-15-33 7-14-32 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Braves 28-26-66 18-9-34 10-17-32 23-20-44 5-6-22 0-0-0 1-1-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 40-53-28 20-25-14 20-28-14 24-27-17 16-26-11 0-0-0 6-2-2
    Braves 51-40-29 33-16-12 18-24-17 44-23-20 7-17-9 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 61-60 in Mets games this season. The Braves have a 61-59 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 4-0 victory over the Mets at Truist Park yesterday. Matt Olson went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Mets' three-game winning streak against the Braves at Truist Park.