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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates (August 12, 2026)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (58-63) face the Miami Marlins (61-59) at LoanDepot Park on Wednesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Carmen Mlodzinski is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Janson Junk is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -114, while the Pirates are at +106. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.

  • The Pirates (-205) have a 54-67 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+168) hold a record of 59-61.
  • The Pirates have a 66-51-4 O/U record this season (meaning 66 games have gone over the total runs line, 51 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 58-60-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 5.0 runs per game this season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging only 4.4 (18th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .256 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .250 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 121 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 145 (T10th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 576 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 504 RBIs to rank 18th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.93 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Pirates have an ERA of 4.32 (21st).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 1122 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 15th for total strikeouts, recording 1007.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .230 against the Marlins this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates' opponents are at .241 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 32-22-67 19-11-30 13-11-37 22-9-34 10-13-33 0-0-0 1-4-5
    Marlins 24-23-73 12-10-39 12-13-34 12-7-39 12-16-34 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Pirates 49-41-31 30-14-16 19-27-15 31-19-15 18-22-16 0-0-0 3-5-2
    Marlins 48-44-28 28-17-16 20-27-12 26-14-18 22-30-10 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 63-58 in Pirates games this season. The Marlins have a 66-54 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 2-0 victory over the Pirates at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Esteury Ruiz went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI. The Marlins have now won three straight at LoanDepot Park against the Pirates.