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MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles (August 15, 2026)

The Baltimore Orioles (59-63) face the Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) at Tropicana Field on Saturday at 6:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kyle Bradish is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Ian Seymour is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -150, while the Orioles are at +124. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +101 and UNDER at -122.

  • The Orioles (-186) have a 63-59 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+153) hold a record of 71-50.
  • The Orioles have a 61-56-5 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 56 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 54-63-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.6 (11th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at an impressive .260 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting an underwhelming .236 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 128 (21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 145 (T13th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 530 RBIs to rank T11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 528 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have an earned run average of 3.72 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.24 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 965 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 21st for total strikeouts, recording 983.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .253 (26th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 23-26-73 8-10-44 15-16-29 9-8-41 14-18-32 0-0-0 3-0-7
    Rays 30-25-66 15-11-34 15-14-32 22-19-39 8-6-27 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Orioles are +110 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -140.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 42-49-31 24-22-16 18-27-15 19-20-19 23-29-12 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Rays 48-39-34 24-19-17 24-20-17 37-27-16 11-12-18 0-0-0 5-3-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.

  • The NRFI is 66-56 in Orioles games this season. The Rays have a 62-59 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded an upset 6-5 victory over the Rays at Tropicana Field yesterday. Gunnar Henderson dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won four straight against the Rays.