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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies (August 15, 2026)

The Philadelphia Phillies (65-58) face the Minnesota Twins (60-63) at Target Field on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Connor Prielipp is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Phillies are favored to win at -156, while the Twins are at +129. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Phillies (+113) have a 49-74 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-136) hold a record of 68-55.
  • The Phillies have a 53-62-8 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 62 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 64-51-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.7 (9th).
  • In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (16th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .238 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .245 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 144 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 152 (9th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 523 RBIs to rank 15th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 544 RBIs to rank 9th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 4.62 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.18 (18th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 1208 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 1014.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .252 against the Twins this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .250 (22nd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Phillies 34-27-62 22-13-27 11-14-35 28-19-44 6-8-18 1-0-0 3-2-5
    Twins 27-35-61 13-11-36 14-23-25 8-10-20 19-25-41 0-1-0 0-6-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Phillies are -140 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are +110.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Phillies 54-44-25 31-20-11 22-24-14 44-31-16 10-13-9 1-0-0 6-2-2
    Twins 46-50-27 24-19-17 22-30-10 15-13-10 31-37-17 0-1-0 3-6-1

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.

  • The NRFI is 59-64 in Phillies games this season. The Twins have a 52-71 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Phillies recorded a 7-1 victory over the Twins at Field of Dreams on Thursday. Kyle Schwarber was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.