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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres (August 17, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (66-58) face the New York Mets (55-69) at Citi Field on Monday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Walker Buehler is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -120, while the Padres are at +100. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.

  • The Padres (+165) have a 63-61 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-202) hold a record of 59-65.
  • The Padres have a 56-66-2 O/U record this season (meaning 56 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 55-59-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.2 (22nd).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (19th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Padres are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .235 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 151 (T10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 136 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Padres have recorded 511 RBIs to rank 21st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 496 RBIs to rank 22nd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.10 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.11 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 1009 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 5th for total strikeouts, recording 1115.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Mets this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .245 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 21-23-80 12-12-39 9-11-39 13-9-33 8-14-47 0-0-2 2-0-8
    Mets 28-29-67 18-11-32 10-18-35 21-15-34 7-14-33 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 40-53-31 23-26-14 16-26-17 16-22-17 24-31-14 1-1-0 3-7-0
    Mets 41-55-28 21-26-14 20-29-14 25-28-17 16-27-11 0-0-0 6-3-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 76-48 in Padres games this season. The Mets have a 63-61 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 7-3 victory over the Padres at Petco Park when these teams last met on June 7. Carson Benge dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 3 singles and 2 RBIs.