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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves (August 17, 2026)

The Atlanta Braves (73-50) face the Minnesota Twins (60-64) at Target Field on Monday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Martin Perez is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Bailey Ober is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Braves are favored to win at -123, while the Twins are at +102. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -101.

  • The Braves (+139) have a 68-55 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-168) hold a record of 68-56.
  • The Braves have a 57-57-9 O/U record this season (meaning 57 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 65-51-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.6 (10th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (6th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .247 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .245 (12th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 144 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 165 (4th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 570 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 545 RBIs to rank 10th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Braves have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.64 (5th in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.65 (26th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1059 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 1022.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Braves this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Twins' opponents are at .253 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 29-27-67 19-10-35 10-17-32 24-21-45 5-6-22 0-0-0 1-2-7
    Twins 27-35-62 13-11-37 14-23-25 8-10-20 19-25-42 0-1-0 0-5-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 52-42-29 34-18-12 18-24-17 45-25-20 7-17-9 0-0-0 3-4-3
    Twins 46-51-27 24-20-17 22-30-10 15-13-10 31-38-17 0-1-0 3-6-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 62-61 in Braves games this season. The Twins have a 53-71 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 6-2 victory over the Twins at Truist Park when these teams last met on April 20, 2025. Byron Buxton was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI. The Braves have now won 11 straight against the Twins.