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MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Houston Astros (August 28, 2026)

The Houston Astros (67-67) face the New York Mets (60-74) at Citi Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Hunter Brown is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Christian Scott is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Astros are favored to win at -130, while the Mets are at +108. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Astros (+128) have a 67-67 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-155) hold a record of 63-71.
  • The Astros have a 70-57-7 O/U record this season (meaning 70 games have gone over the total runs line, 57 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 59-65-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging only 4.1 (23rd).
  • In the field, the Astros are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.5 runs (18th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .242 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .236 (26th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 163 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Astros have managed 179 (3rd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have recorded 583 RBIs to rank 13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 528 RBIs to rank T23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 4.11 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 4.65 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded 1172 this season, ranking 10th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 1205.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .239 against the Mets this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .241 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 37-35-62 21-14-33 16-21-29 16-14-28 21-21-34 0-0-0 2-2-6
    Mets 30-31-73 19-13-36 11-18-37 23-15-35 7-16-38 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Astros are -130 to lead after three innings, while the Mets are +100.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 47-57-30 28-26-14 19-31-16 21-26-11 26-31-19 0-0-0 3-6-1
    Mets 44-59-31 22-30-16 22-29-15 27-29-17 17-30-14 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 59-75 in Astros games this season. The Mets have a 69-65 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 2-1 victory over the Mets at Daikin Park when these teams last met on March 29, 2025. Jeremy Pena went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.