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MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins (August 28, 2026)

The Miami Marlins (68-66) face the Washington Nationals (63-73) at Nationals Park on Friday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Jackson Kent is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Marlins are favored to win at -155, while the Nationals are at +128. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -101 and UNDER at -119.

  • The Marlins (+114) have a 67-67 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-137) hold a record of 78-58.
  • The Marlins have a 64-67-3 O/U record this season (meaning 64 games have gone over the total runs line, 67 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 69-61-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +0.8 more at 5.2 runs (2nd).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (28th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .249 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .248 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 188 to rank 1st. Alternatively, the Marlins are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 134 (25th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 556 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 671 RBIs to rank 1st.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.69 this season (27th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.88 (9th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1095 this season, ranking 18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 24th for total strikeouts, recording 1051.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Nationals' opponents are at .257 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 27-24-83 15-10-44 12-14-39 14-7-42 13-17-41 0-0-0 3-1-6
    Nationals 38-29-69 22-10-35 16-19-34 12-4-17 26-25-52 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Marlins are -145 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are +114.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Marlins 53-48-33 33-18-18 20-30-15 29-14-20 24-34-13 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Nationals 55-44-37 32-17-18 23-27-19 18-5-10 37-39-27 0-0-0 3-4-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 76-58 in Marlins games this season. The Nationals have a 66-70 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 6-2 victory over the Nationals at LoanDepot Park on Sunday. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Dylan Crews did what he could, hitting a home run. The Marlins have now won eight straight against the Nationals.