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MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals (August 28, 2026)

The Kansas City Royals (60-75) face the Cleveland Guardians (68-66) at Progressive Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -142, while the Royals are at +118. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Royals (-186) have a 68-67 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (+153) hold a record of 62-72.
  • The Royals have a 61-68-6 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 62-71-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.1 (T27th).
  • In the field, the Royals are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .237 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 124 (29th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 139 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 550 RBIs to rank 21st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 520 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.73 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.68 (26th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded an impressive 1250 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording only 979.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .257 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 31-33-71 17-17-32 14-16-39 9-12-26 22-21-45 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Guardians 30-22-82 18-9-38 12-13-44 21-14-48 9-8-34 0-0-0 3-3-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Royals are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -130.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 44-60-31 26-27-13 18-33-18 14-23-10 30-37-21 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Guardians 48-42-44 29-19-17 19-23-27 33-26-24 15-16-20 0-0-0 4-3-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 67-68 in Royals games this season. The Guardians have a 76-58 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Guardians recorded an 8-5 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on May 7. Bobby Witt Jr. dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 3 singles and an RBI.