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MLB Prop Bets: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves (September 7, 2026)

The Atlanta Braves (85-58) face the Philadelphia Phillies (80-63) at Citizens Bank Park on Monday at 1:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Grant Holmes is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies. The Phillies are favored to win at -171, while the Braves are at +141. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Braves (-150) have a 78-65 Run Line record this season, while the Phillies (+125) hold a record of 61-82.
  • The Braves have a 63-70-10 O/U record this season (meaning 63 games have gone over the total runs line, 70 have gone under and 10 have resulted in a push). The Phillies have a 64-70-9 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Braves are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Phillies are averaging 4.5 (14th).
  • In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Phillies are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .248 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting .242 (18th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Phillies have hit 169 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 182 (7th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 638 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Phillies have recorded 621 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.99 this season (12th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.57 (3rd).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 1209 this season, ranking 15th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Phillies rank 1st for total strikeouts, recording 1399.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .245 against the Phillies this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .232 (5th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 33-31-79 22-10-40 11-21-38 25-23-54 8-8-25 0-0-1 1-2-7
    Phillies 40-33-70 26-15-30 13-18-40 34-25-51 6-8-19 1-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

The Braves are +140 to lead after three innings, while the Phillies are -180.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Braves 60-51-32 40-19-13 20-32-18 51-29-22 9-22-10 0-0-1 5-3-2
    Phillies 65-49-29 37-22-12 27-27-17 55-36-19 10-13-10 1-0-0 6-2-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.

  • The NRFI is 73-70 in Braves games this season. The Phillies have a 67-76 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Braves recorded a 5-4 victory over the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park yesterday. Ronald Acuna Jr. was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 4 RBIs.