MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets (September 7, 2026)
The New York Mets (65-78) face the Miami Marlins (72-72) at LoanDepot Park on Monday at 1:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jonah Tong is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -118, while the Mets are at -102. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -103 and UNDER at -116.
- The Mets (+169) have a 68-75 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-207) hold a record of 72-72.
- The Mets have a 63-68-12 O/U record this season (meaning 63 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and 12 have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 71-70-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.4 (T19th).
- In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .236 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .247 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 148 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 176 (8th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 568 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 602 RBIs to rank 19th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.98 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.12 (14th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1276 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1163.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Marlins this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .239 (13th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 33-32-78 | 21-14-39 | 12-18-39 | 25-16-37 | 8-16-41 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Marlins | 28-25-91 | 15-10-47 | 13-15-44 | 14-7-45 | 14-18-46 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Mets are -105 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -125.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | 46-61-36 | 23-31-20 | 23-30-16 | 28-30-20 | 18-31-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
| Marlins | 55-53-36 | 34-20-18 | 21-33-18 | 29-16-21 | 26-37-15 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 72-71 in Mets games this season. The Marlins have an 84-60 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 2-0 victory over the Mets at Citi Field when these teams last met on August 2. Joe Mack was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. The Marlins have now won three straight against the Mets.
