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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs New York Mets (September 12, 2026)

The New York Mets (68-79) face the New York Yankees (85-62) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zach Thornton is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Gerrit Cole is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -181, while the Mets are at +149. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -101.

  • The Mets (-143) have a 71-76 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+119) hold a record of 79-68.
  • The Mets have a 67-68-12 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and 12 have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 63-78-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging +0.3 more at 4.6 runs (9th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (19th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .235 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 201 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 182 (8th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 602 RBIs to rank T21st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 642 RBIs to rank 12th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.20 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.21 (19th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1311 this season, ranking 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 1322.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .222 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .242 (15th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 35-33-79 21-14-39 14-19-40 25-16-37 10-17-42 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Yankees 36-33-78 20-15-37 16-18-41 31-23-64 5-10-14 0-0-0 4-1-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 48-62-37 23-31-20 25-31-17 28-30-20 20-32-17 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Yankees 65-42-40 32-19-21 33-23-19 53-32-33 12-10-7 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 73-74 in Mets games this season. The Yankees have a 76-71 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Yankees recorded a 6-4 victory over the Mets at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Ben Rice dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and an RBI.