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MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees (September 14, 2026)

The New York Yankees (86-63) face the Minnesota Twins (70-79) at Target Field on Monday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Will Warren is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while Dean Kremer is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Yankees are favored to win at -136, while the Twins are at +113. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -104 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Yankees (+123) have an 80-69 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-149) hold a record of 78-71.
  • The Yankees have a 64-79-6 O/U record this season (meaning 64 games have gone over the total runs line, 79 have gone under and six have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 79-60-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Yankees are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.6 (9th).
  • In the field, the Yankees are allowing only 3.7 runs per game this season (1st in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (26th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Yankees are at .235 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .244 (15th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 174 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Yankees have managed 204 (2nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Yankees have recorded 646 RBIs to rank 14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 653 RBIs to rank 11th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.24 (1st in the Majors), while the Twins are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.69 (26th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Yankees have recorded 1339 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 1246.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Twins this season (23rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Yankees' opponents are at .223 (3rd).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 37-34-78 21-16-37 16-18-41 32-24-64 5-10-14 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Twins 36-41-72 18-13-43 18-27-29 12-12-25 24-29-47 0-1-0 1-4-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Yankees 66-43-40 33-20-21 33-23-19 54-33-33 12-10-7 0-0-0 5-2-3
    Twins 59-61-29 33-23-18 26-37-11 21-17-11 38-44-18 0-1-0 3-6-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 76-73 in Yankees games this season. The Twins have a 60-89 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded a 6-1 victory over the Yankees at Yankee Stadium when these teams last met on July 5. Austin Martin went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.